Sean Fraser, Canada's Minister of Immigration, tweeted earlier today to announce that applicants from all programs will be included in the Express Entry draw on July 6

What to anticipate at the return of FSW and CEC draws on July 6

With the resumption of FSW and CEC draws, it is necessary to establish the CRS score threshold. Due to the accumulation of high-ranking applicants in the Express Entry pool, IRCC has indicated that the CRS score cut-off would likely exceed 500 points when all-program drawings resume.

It is quite difficult to estimate the CRS score cutoff for the upcoming months. There are several considerations:

How many applicants will each round invite?

Although the IRCC has stated they want to invite thousands of applicants every round, the precise quantity will be a key factor in deciding the CRS score cut-off.

How many applicants will join/leave the pool?

There are already more than 220,000 applicants in the pool for Express Entry, indicating its great demand. Over the last two weeks, more than 5,000 more applicants have joined the pool. The pool of applicants might grow even larger, which might maintain the CRS cut-off level higher.

Could new immigration policies affect quotas for Express Entry?

According to IRCC, a new PR scheme will be developed for students and employees who are currently residing in Canada. A new initiative could eliminate slots from the Express Entry limit.

Will the IRCC continue to hold all-program draws in the months to come?

The IRCC may alternate between draws that evaluate all candidates and draws that solely examine candidates in certain programs.

Will IRCC start holding draws for specific occupations?

IRCC is thinking about making a change that would let Express Entry draws focus on people with experience in certain high-demand jobs. If this change is made, it could make the CRS score cut-off very different from what it is now, with different cut-offs for different jobs.

Predicting trends and future policies in Canadian immigration is always hard, so it's important to keep in mind that Express Entry could go in many different directions in the coming months.

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